Prediction Markets

6 Best Prediction Markets in 2026

Six prediction markets compared on US availability, fees and how funds settle. US status comes from each market's own terms, checked Sep 26, 2026.

6 picks · 4 criteria · every fee linked to its source
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On this page

Only two markets on this list are open to US residents: Polymarket US, run by QCX LLC, and Kalshi, both regulated by the CFTC as designated contract markets. Limitless, Opinion and SX Bet bar US users in their terms or on their site. Fees are low but not zero: Polymarket US takers pay up to $1.74 per 100 contracts at a 50 cent price, and Opinion takers pay 0% to 1%.

Quick answer

In the US, use Kalshi or Polymarket US: both are CFTC-regulated exchanges. Outside the US, Limitless suits short-term crypto markets and SX Bet suits sports.

  1. 01Polymarket: best for market depth
  2. 02Kalshi: best for US users
  3. 03Myriad Markets: best for self-custody
  4. 04Limitless: best for short-term markets
  5. 05Opinion: best for macro markets

The 6 best prediction markets

#1

Polymarket

Best for market depth

US residents trade on Polymarket US, run by QCX LLC as a CFTC-regulated designated contract market in US dollars. Makers get a rebate, and taker fees peak at $1.74 per 100 contracts at a 50 cent price.

Platforms
Web, iOS, Android, API
US availability
Yes, via Polymarket US (QCX LLC, CFTC-regulated DCM); international app is separate
Fees
Polymarket US taker fee 0.0695 x contracts x p x (1 - p); maker rebate
Company
QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US
Pros
  • US residents can trade through a CFTC-regulated exchange
  • Makers get a rebate on Polymarket US
  • Taker fee rebates of 10% to 50% for high monthly volume
Cons
  • US and international products are separate apps with separate markets
  • Taker fee on Polymarket US peaks at $1.74 per 100 contracts at a 50 cent price
  • Polymarket US trades in dollars only, not crypto

Skip it if you want to trade in crypto from the US: Polymarket US trades in dollars only.

#2

Kalshi

Best for US users

Kalshi is regulated by the CFTC as a designated contract market and takes bank, card, PayPal, Cash App and crypto deposits. It charges a fee based on a contract's expected earnings.

Platforms
Web, iOS, Android, API
Custody
Custodial
US availability
Yes, CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market
Fees
Transaction fee on the contract's expected earnings
Pros
  • Regulated by the CFTC as a Designated Contract Market
  • Crypto deposits for US and international users
  • Also supports bank, card, PayPal and Cash App deposits
Cons
  • Custodial account with identity verification
  • ACH, PayPal and Venmo unavailable to international users
  • Fee depends on contract price; full schedule is a PDF

Skip it if you want a non-custodial account: Kalshi requires identity verification.

#3

Myriad Markets

Best for self-custody

Myriad keeps funds in the user's wallet or the smart contract, mainly on BNB Smart Chain with AMM markets on Abstract and Linea. Order book makers pay nothing and get rebates; taker fees peak at 1.5%.

Chains
BNB Smart Chain, Abstract, Linea
Platforms
Web, Browser extension, API
Custody
Non-custodial
Fees
Order book taker fee peaks at 1.5%; AMM buy fee 0% to 2%
Chains
BNB Smart Chain, Abstract, Linea
Pros
  • Order book makers pay no fees and receive rebates
  • Funds stay in the user's wallet or smart contract
  • Browser extension for trading from social feeds
Cons
  • AMM buy fees up to 2% depending on the market
  • Extra $0.0085 per transaction on the Myriad app
  • Markets split across three chains

Skip it if you want one chain: markets are split across three.

#4

Limitless

Best for short-term markets

Limitless runs hourly, daily and weekly markets on Base that pay $1 in USDC per winning share. AMM markets charge a flat 0.40%, and order book makers pay nothing. Its terms bar US users.

Chains
Base
Platforms
Web, API
Custody
Non-custodial
US availability
Not available to US users
Fees
AMM 0.40%; order book takers 0.40% to 3.00% buy, 0.42% to 1.50% sell; makers free
Pros
  • Maker limit orders pay no fees
  • Flat 0.40% fee on AMM markets
  • Hourly, daily and weekly markets
Cons
  • Not available to US users
  • Order book buy fees up to 3.00% on low-probability markets
  • Operator Street Chow Inc. is a Panama company

Skip it if you live in the US: its terms bar US users.

#5

Opinion

Best for macro markets

Opinion is an order book exchange for macro data and news where only takers pay, 0% to 1% by market probability, with a $0.25 minimum fee. Its terms list the United States as restricted.

Platforms
Web, API
Custody
Non-custodial
Fees
Takers 0% to 1% by market probability; makers 0%; $0.25 minimum fee
US availability
Not available: the United States is a restricted jurisdiction
Company
Superchillclub Limited
Pros
  • Makers pay no trading fee
  • Taker fee capped at 1%, highest near a 50% price
  • Opinion covers gas for matching and settling trades
Cons
  • Not available to US users
  • $0.25 minimum fee and $5 minimum order
  • Terms also exclude the UK, France, Ontario and Singapore

Skip it if you live in the US, UK, France, Ontario or Singapore: its terms exclude them.

#6

SX Bet

Best for sports

SX Bet is a peer-to-peer sports market in USDC where takers pay 1% of net profit on winning bets and makers pay 0%. It covers gas on bets. The site says it is not available in the United States.

Platforms
Web, API
Custody
Non-custodial
Fees
Takers 1% of net profit on winning bets; makers 0%; parlays 5%
US availability
Not available in the United States
Pros
  • Makers pay no trading fee
  • Takers pay only on winning bets (1% of profit)
  • SX Bet covers gas on betting transactions
Cons
  • Not available in the United States
  • 5% fee on parlay profits
  • Glide bridge withdrawals carry a 0.33% fee

Skip it if you are in the US, or bet parlays: they cost 5% of profit.

Prediction Markets compared

Select a name to jump to its review.
NameBest forUS availabilityFeesCustody
PolymarketUS and crypto tradersYes, via Polymarket US (QCX LLC, CFTC-regulated DCM); international app is separatePolymarket US taker fee 0.0695 x contracts x p x (1 - p); maker rebateNot verified
KalshiUS traders, CFTC regulatedYes, CFTC-regulated Designated Contract MarketTransaction fee on the contract's expected earningsCustodial
Myriad MarketsWallet-based, three chainsNot verifiedOrder book taker fee peaks at 1.5%; AMM buy fee 0% to 2%Non-custodial
LimitlessHourly crypto markets, non-USNot available to US usersAMM 0.40%; order book takers 0.40% to 3.00% buy, 0.42% to 1.50% sell; makers freeNon-custodial
OpinionMacro and news, non-USNot available: the United States is a restricted jurisdictionTakers 0% to 1% by market probability; makers 0%; $0.25 minimum feeNon-custodial
SX BetPeer-to-peer sports, non-USNot available in the United StatesTakers 1% of net profit on winning bets; makers 0%; parlays 5%Non-custodial

“Not verified” means we could not confirm the value on the project’s own pages.

How we rank prediction markets

  1. 01US availability: from the market's own terms or regulator status. US-available markets rank first.
  2. 02Fees: maker and taker fees from the market's fee page.
  3. 03Custody: whether funds sit in an exchange account or your own wallet.
  4. 04Market types: sports, macro, crypto and short-term markets.

No project paid to be listed or ranked. Full rules: methodology.

How to choose

Check US status first

Kalshi and Polymarket US are CFTC regulated. Limitless, Opinion and SX Bet bar US users, so using them from the US breaks their terms.

Be a maker to cut fees

Limitless, Opinion, SX Bet and Myriad charge makers nothing. Placing a limit order that waits costs less than filling one.

Fees peak near 50 cents

On Polymarket US and Opinion, taker fees are highest when a contract trades near a 50% probability.

Who should skip all of these

  • Anyone who cannot afford to lose the stake: event contracts can settle at zero.
  • US users looking for crypto-settled markets: the US options trade in dollars or through regulated accounts.

Which one fits you?

Bottom line

US residents should use Kalshi or Polymarket US.

Outside the US, compare maker fees: most onchain markets charge makers nothing.

Educational content, not financial advice. Crypto assets are volatile; do your own research.

FAQ

Which prediction markets are legal in the US?

Kalshi and Polymarket US are regulated by the CFTC as designated contract markets. Limitless, Opinion and SX Bet bar US users.

Is Polymarket available in the US?

Yes, through Polymarket US, run by QCX LLC. The international crypto-based app is a separate product with separate markets.

Which prediction market has the lowest fees?

Makers pay nothing on Limitless, Opinion, SX Bet and Myriad. For takers, Limitless AMM markets charge a flat 0.40%, and Opinion 0% to 1%.

Can I use a crypto wallet?

Myriad keeps funds in your wallet or the smart contract. Kalshi accepts crypto deposits into a verified account.

Sources

  1. Polymarket US: What is Polymarket US
  2. Polymarket US: Fees
  3. Kalshi Help: How is Kalshi regulated
  4. Limitless Docs: Terms of service
  5. Opinion Docs: Terms of use
  6. SX Bet: Terms
  7. Myriad Docs: Order book

What changed in this list

2026-09-26First version: 6 prediction markets, US status and fees checked on each market's own pages.

How this page works

Sources: Polymarket US: What is Polymarket US, Polymarket US: Fees, Kalshi Help: How is Kalshi regulated. Data as of Sep 26, 2026.

How we review

Not affiliated with any project listed. Educational content, not financial advice.